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Development and Internal/External Validation of a Prediction Model for Weight Loss Following Gastric Cancer Surgery: A Multicenter Retrospective Study
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Ji-Hyeon Park, Seong-Ho Kong, Do Joong Park, Han-Kwang Yang, Jong Won Kim, Ki Bum Park, In Cho, Sun-Hwi Hwang, Dong-Wook Kim, Su Mi Kim, Seung-Wan Ryu, Seong Chan Gong, Pil Young Jung, Hoon Ryu, Sung Geun Kim, Chang In Choi, Dae-Hwan Kim, Sung-IL Choi, Ji-Ho Park, Dong Jin Park, Gyu-Yeol Kim, Yunhee Choi, Hyuk-Joon Lee
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Ann Clin Nutr Metab 2022;14(2):55-65. Published online December 1, 2022
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.15747/ACNM.2022.14.2.55
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Abstract
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- Purpose: To develop an individualized model for predicting the extent of unintentional weight loss following gastrectomy in patients with gastric cancer based on related risk factors and to externally validate this model using multicenter clinical data in Korea.
Materials and Methods: Among gastric cancer patients who underwent curative gastrectomy at 14 different gastric cancer centers, clinical data from patients with more than one weight measurement during the three-year follow-up period were retrospectively collected. Risk factors associated with weight loss in gastric cancer patients after gastrectomy were analyzed, and a predictive model was developed. Internal and external validation were performed. Results: The data from 2,649 patients were divided into a derivation set (n=1,420 from Seoul National University Hospital) and validation set (n=1,229 from 13 different gastric cancers). Postoperative duration (six vs. 12, 24, or 36 months), sex (female vs. male), age, preoperative body mass index, type of surgery (pylorus-preserving vs. total, distal or proximal gastrectomy), and cancer stage (I vs. II or III) were included in the final prediction model. The model showed approximately 20% accuracy in predicting weight loss at each period: R2 at six, 12, 24 and 36 months after gastrectomy in internal validation=0.20, 0.21, 0.17, and 0.18, respectively, and in external validation=0.20, 0.22, 0.18, and 0.18, respectively. Calibration slopes of internal and external validation were 0.95 and 1.0, respectively. Conclusion: Although predictive accuracy of the model did not reach an acceptable level, repeated external validation measurements showed high reliability. The model may serve as a basic reference in clinical practice.
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Role of Postoperative Parenteral Nutrition in Elective Surgery; Selection of Patients and Conditions for Postoperative Parenteral Nutrition
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Jong Won Kim
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Surg Metab Nutr 2018;9(1):1-4. Published online June 30, 2018
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.18858/smn.2018.9.1.1
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Abstract
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Postoperative early enteral nutrition or early oral ingestion is recommended in surgical patients. In this situation, this study examined the role of parenteral nutrition in the postoperative period in patients undergoing elective surgery. The nutritional status should be assessed before surgery and in the case of malnutrition, nutritional support should be provided before surgery to obtain good results. More than 2 weeks of insufficient nutritional support after surgery may worsen the patient’s progress. Therefore, it is recommended to start nutritional care if the oral intake is not appropriate until 7 days or 5 to 7 days after surgery. Enteral nutrition is related to the quick restoration of the bowel function and reduction of infection-related complications. Therefore, enteral nutrition has priority. On the other hand, depending on the patient’s condition, it may not be possible to perform enteral nutrition, and the uniform implementation of the early enteral nutrition may be a burden to the patient. Parenteral nutrition has the advantage that it can supply nutrition without being affected by the intestinal condition, and it can be calculated to supply as much energy as required. The situation, where parenteral nutrition is required after elective surgery, could be summarized as 1) the patients who underwent nutritional therapy before surgery and could not tolerate oral intake or enteral nutrition after surgery. or 2) in the case where enteral nutrition did not satisfy 50% of the demand at 7 days after surgery, and it is judged that this situation should continue for 7 days.
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